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PMI PMP · exam math

PMP formulas cheat sheet: every formula with a worked example

Earned value, PERT, float, expected monetary value and communication channels, each with the formula, one worked example and what the answer tells a project manager. The examples share one project so you can check every number.

100,000BAC in the example
0.89CPI
0.80SPI
112,500EAC, typical
PMP exam prep 2026 cover

Before the formulas: how the exam uses math

PMI's Examination Content Outline does not list formulas. It lists tasks such as Plan and manage finance, Plan and manage schedule, Evaluate project status and Plan and manage risk, and the math lives inside them. Most PMP questions are situational, so a formula is usually a step toward a decision: the CPI tells you whether to act on cost, the float tells you whether a delay matters, the EMV tells you which option to pick.

Learn each formula, then practice reading the result. A number below 1, a negative variance or a path with zero float should trigger the same instinct every time: analyze the cause, then act through the agreed process.

Earned value management (EVM)

The example project: budget at completion (BAC) 100,000. At the status date, planned value (PV) is 50,000, earned value (EV) is 40,000 and actual cost (AC) is 45,000.

MetricFormulaWorked exampleHow to read it
Planned value (PV)Budgeted cost of work scheduled to date50,000What you planned to have done by now
Earned value (EV)% complete × BAC40% × 100,000 = 40,000The budgeted value of the work actually done
Actual cost (AC)What the work done has really cost45,000Money spent to earn the EV
Cost variance (CV)EV − AC40,000 − 45,000 = −5,000Negative: over budget
Schedule variance (SV)EV − PV40,000 − 50,000 = −10,000Negative: behind schedule
Cost performance index (CPI)EV ÷ AC40,000 ÷ 45,000 = 0.89Below 1: about 89 cents of value per dollar spent
Schedule performance index (SPI)EV ÷ PV40,000 ÷ 50,000 = 0.80Below 1: progressing at 80% of the planned rate
Memory hook: every variance and index starts with EV. Subtract for a variance, divide for an index. Cost uses AC, schedule uses PV. Negative variances and indexes below 1 are bad news.

Forecasting: EAC, ETC and VAC

Same project. The estimate at completion (EAC) depends on what you expect the rest of the work to look like, so the scenario wording decides the formula.

Situation in the questionEAC formulaWorked example
Current cost performance will continue (typical variance)BAC ÷ CPI100,000 ÷ 0.889 = 112,500
The overrun was a one-time event; the rest goes to plan (atypical)AC + (BAC − EV)45,000 + 60,000 = 105,000
Both cost and schedule performance will drive the remaining workAC + (BAC − EV) ÷ (CPI × SPI)45,000 + 60,000 ÷ 0.711 = 129,375
The original estimate is no longer validAC + bottom-up ETC45,000 + new estimate of 58,000 = 103,000
MetricFormulaWorked example (typical EAC)How to read it
Estimate to complete (ETC)EAC − AC112,500 − 45,000 = 67,500Money still needed to finish
Variance at completion (VAC)BAC − EAC100,000 − 112,500 = −12,500Negative: expected to finish over budget
TCPI to meet BAC(BAC − EV) ÷ (BAC − AC)60,000 ÷ 55,000 = 1.09Every remaining dollar must earn 1.09 of value to land on budget
TCPI to meet EAC(BAC − EV) ÷ (EAC − AC)60,000 ÷ 67,500 = 0.89Matches the current CPI, as it should for a typical EAC
Reading TCPI: above 1 means the team must perform better than planned for the rest of the project. A TCPI of 1.09 after a CPI of 0.89 is a big jump, which is a signal to discuss a revised budget through governance rather than promise a recovery that the data does not support.

Estimating: PERT and standard deviation

Three-point estimates use an optimistic (O), most likely (M) and pessimistic (P) duration or cost. The example activity: O = 4 days, M = 6 days, P = 14 days.

EstimateFormulaWorked example
Triangular (simple average)(O + M + P) ÷ 3(4 + 6 + 14) ÷ 3 = 8 days
Beta / PERT (weighted average)(O + 4M + P) ÷ 6(4 + 24 + 14) ÷ 6 = 7 days
Standard deviation (beta)(P − O) ÷ 6(14 − 4) ÷ 6 = 1.67 days
VarianceSD squared1.67 × 1.67 = 2.78

With a beta estimate of 7 days and a standard deviation of 1.67, a one-standard-deviation range is 5.33 to 8.67 days, which covers roughly 68% of outcomes under a normal distribution; two standard deviations (3.67 to 10.33 days) cover roughly 95%. A larger standard deviation means a less certain estimate.

Which one? If the question says "PERT" or "beta", weight the most likely value by 4 and divide by 6. If it says "triangular" or "simple average", divide by 3. To combine activities on one path, add the means and add the variances, not the standard deviations.

Schedule: critical path and float

Example network: activity A (3 days) comes first, then B (5 days) and C (2 days) run in parallel, and D (4 days) starts when both B and C finish. Path A-B-D is 12 days; path A-C-D is 9 days.

ActivityDurationESEFLSLFTotal float
A303030
B538380
C235683
D48128120
Total floatLS − ES, or LF − EF. Activity C: 6 − 3 = 3 days it can slip without delaying the project.
Free floatES of the earliest successor − EF of the activity. Activity C: 8 − 5 = 3 days before it delays D.
Critical pathThe longest path, with zero total float: A-B-D, 12 days. It sets the shortest possible project duration.
Negative floatThe path is already late against a required date. Compress the schedule or reset the date through change control.

These numbers use the convention where the first activity starts at day 0 and a successor's early start equals its predecessor's early finish. Some references start at day 1 and add 1 to each start; the float values come out the same either way.

Compression reminder: crashing adds resources to critical-path activities and raises cost; fast tracking overlaps activities that were planned in sequence and raises risk. Shortening an activity with float does not shorten the project.

Risk: expected monetary value (EMV)

Formula: EMV = probability × impact. Threats carry a negative impact, opportunities a positive one, and you add them up for the overall exposure.

Worked example: a threat has a 20% chance of costing 50,000, so its EMV is 0.20 × −50,000 = −10,000. An opportunity has a 30% chance of saving 20,000, so its EMV is 0.30 × 20,000 = +6,000. The combined EMV is −4,000, a reasonable starting point for a contingency reserve for these two risks.

Decision tree example: Vendor X costs 100,000 with a 25% chance of 40,000 in rework, an expected cost of 100,000 + 10,000 = 110,000. Vendor Y costs 105,000 with a 10% chance of 20,000 in rework, an expected cost of 105,000 + 2,000 = 107,000. Vendor Y has the lower expected cost even though its price is higher.

Exam trap: when comparing costs, pick the lowest expected cost; when comparing profits or benefits, pick the highest expected value. Check which one the question is asking for before you choose.

Communication channels

Formula: channels = n(n − 1) ÷ 2, where n is the number of people, including the project manager.

Worked example: a team of 8 has 8 × 7 ÷ 2 = 28 channels. If 4 more people join, 12 × 11 ÷ 2 = 66 channels, so the change adds 66 − 28 = 38 channels. Questions often ask for the increase, not the new total, so read the last sentence carefully.

Agile forecasting: velocity

Velocity is the amount of work, often in story points, that a team completes per iteration. Worked example: the last three sprints delivered 30, 34 and 26 points, an average of 30. With 240 points left in the backlog, the forecast is 240 ÷ 30 = 8 more sprints. Velocity is for the team's own planning; comparing velocity between teams is a classic wrong answer, because each team sizes stories differently.

Five rules that catch wrong answers

EV comes firstCV = EV − AC and SV = EV − PV. If a formula starts with AC or PV, it is backwards.
Indexes compare to 1CPI or SPI above 1 is good, below 1 is bad, exactly 1 is on plan.
Typical means BAC ÷ CPIUse it unless the question says the variance will not repeat or the estimate is no longer valid.
Float lives off the critical pathDelaying a critical activity delays the project; delaying one within its float does not.
Math leads to actionAfter the number, choose the response: analyze the cause, update forecasts, use change control.

Want the context for these numbers? Read what changed in the 2026 PMP exam, then schedule your practice with the PMP study plan.

Drill the math inside real scenarios

Six full-length PMP mock exams with earned value, PERT, float and EMV worked out under every calculation question.

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PMP formulas FAQ

How many formulas do I need for the PMP exam?

PMI does not publish a formula list. In practice, earned value (CV, SV, CPI, SPI, EAC, ETC, VAC, TCPI), PERT estimates, float, expected monetary value and communication channels cover the math most candidates report.

Is there a calculator on the PMP exam?

Yes. The computer-based exam has a built-in calculator, and the PMI Certification Handbook says you can request a handheld one at the test center.

Which EAC formula should I use?

Read the scenario. If the current cost performance is expected to continue, use BAC / CPI. If the variance was a one-time event, use AC + (BAC − EV). If both cost and schedule performance will drive the rest of the work, use AC + (BAC − EV) / (CPI × SPI). If the original estimate is no longer valid, use AC + a new bottom-up ETC.

Is a CPI above 1 good or bad?

Good. A CPI above 1 means you get more than one dollar of planned value for each dollar spent, so the project is under budget. Below 1 means over budget. SPI works the same way for schedule.

How much of the PMP exam is math?

PMI does not publish a number. The exam is mostly situational judgment, so the math matters most when it helps you interpret status, such as reading a CPI of 0.85 as a cost problem that needs action.

More guides: PMP exam changes 2026 · PMP study plan · PMP agile and hybrid questions · Free PMP practice questions · all guides